Eugene Weekly Data Blurb 7.6.17

(N=407; 198 Trump voters; 209 Clinton voters; nonprobability sample)

73.7% Trump voters overestimated odds

38.8% Clinton voters overestimated odds

This line graph reveals sampled Trump voters, more than the Clinton voters, tend to overestimate the chances of a person in America dying from a “legally documented refugee committing terrorist act.” The actual U.S. statistical estimate is 1 in 46+ million (National Safety Council). PolicyInteractive has previously reported that conservatives and liberals have more in common than one would think, but the current political climate is seen to be driving increased political polarization. PI asks the question why are some people attracted to the conservative ideology and others attracted to the liberal ideology? What are the issues that are pulling us apart and why? Watch this space for continuing exploration of why “we’re so skewed.” National survey conducted by PolicyInteractive out of Eugene, OR; See full results and methodology at goo.gl/Cf5Xcp. Robin Quirke is an associate researcher at PolicyInteractive.